Brazil Stock Market: Daily Forecast Evaluation Report

Executive Summary

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for Brazilian stocks for long and short positions (20 stocks) which were sent daily to our customers. Our analysis covers the period from January 1st, 2018, to June 30th, 2020.

Brazil stock market
Chart 1: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 long position signals by Daily Model vs Bovespa Index for short term horizons since January 1st, 2018 until June 30th, 2020
Brazil stock market
Chart 2: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 long position signals by Daily Model vs Bovespa Index for long term horizons since January 1st, 2018 until June 30th, 2020
Brazil stock market
Chart 3: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 long and short position signals by Daily Model vs Bovespa Index for short term horizons since January 1st, 2018 until June 30th, 2020
Brazil stock market
Chart 4: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 long and short position signals by Daily Model vs Bovespa Index for long term horizons since January 1st, 2018 until June 30th, 2020

Brazilian Stocks Highlights

  • The Top 20, Top 10, and Top 5 signal groups generated by I Know First consistently outperformed Bovespa Index for almost all time horizons.
  • The Top 5 signal group outperformed the Bovespa by 16.23% using the 1 year time horizon.
  • All hit ratios for 7 day time horizon or longer are above 50%.
  • Using only long positions, every signal group for every time horizon outperformed Bovespa.
  • For long positions only, the top 5 signals with a 1 year time horizon outperformed the Bovespa Index by 21.07%.
  • Long position hit ratios for all time horizons longer than 3 days are above 50% and all 1 year forecast hit ratios are above 70%

Read more

Wealth Creation Investing Highlights Successful Brazilian Stocks Picking by I Know First

wealth ccreat

I Know First was featured by Wealth Creation Investing in the most recent article published on their website. This article refers the algorithmic performance report that investigate the latest performance of I Know First forecasts for Brazilian stock market which was booming over the last years. The report mentioned

Read More

Bovespa Stocks Analysis: I Know First Evaluation Report

Executive Summary

In this Bovespa stocks analysis forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for short-term and long-term stocks from the Bovespa Stock Exchange which is sent to our customers on a daily basis. Our analysis covers the time period from 1 January 2019 to 30 July 2019. We will start with an introduction to our asset picking and benchmarking methods and then apply it to the Bovespa stock universe as covered by the I Know First’s “Brazilian Stocks” package. We will then compare returns based on our algorithm with the benchmark performance over the same period.

Bovespa Stocks Analysis Highlights:

  • The best returns were obtained in the 3 months time horizon, with the best performance being a return of 4.71% for the top 10 predictability and signal filtered assets during this time-horizon.
  • All signals in the 3-month time horizon beat the benchmark, with the best outperformance being the top 10 assets which beat the benchmark by over 79%.
  • The best hit ratios were similarly obtained for the 3 months time horizon, with the best hit ratio being 60% for the top 10 predictability and signal filtered assets.

Read the full evaluation report

I Know First’s Brazilian Stock Market Track Record: Beating Bovespa

On August 1st 2017 I Know First finished the implementation and the training period of its AI-based ranking and forecasting system for the main equities listed on the Brazilian Stock Exchange Bovespa. On this date the first Brazilian stock forecast was published for the subscribed investors in the local market.