Stock Forecast Based On a Predictive Algorithm | I Know First |algorhithmic performance Archives - Stock Forecast Based On a Predictive Algorithm

MU Stock Forecast: I Know First Stock Forecasts Evaluation Report

April 5, 2020

MU Stock Forecast: Executive Summary

In this forecast evaluation report, we examine the performance of the Micron Technology stock forecast generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the MU stock with time horizons ranging from 3 days to 1 year, which were delivered daily to our clients. Our analysis covers the time period from 29 January 2019 to 29 March 2020. Below, we present our key takeaways for checking hit ratios of our MU predictions in the stock market.

Highlights:

85% Hit Ratio for 1-year time period for MU stock forecast allowing our clients to be able to invest their money with significant less risk
Predictions consistently hit above 56% accuracy despite volatile market conditions

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Stock Market Predictions: I Know First S&P 500 & Nasdaq Evaluation Report- Accuracy Up To 97%

August 15, 2019

Stock Market Predictions Highlights:

97% Hit Ratio for the 3-Months time period of Nasdaq tracking ETF (QQQ) predictions allow our clients to be able to invest their money with significantly less risk
87% Hit Ratio for the 3-Months time horizon of S&P 500 following ETF (SPY) predictions nearly matches the success of impeccable accuracy of the algorithm’s Nasdaq forecasts
Predictions consistently above 60% accurate despite very volatile times in the world economy over the last half-year

Algorithmic Performance

I Know First Live Evaluation Report For The Singaporean Stock Universe: Top 5 Stock Signals Return 2.30% in A 3-Month Investment Horizon

December 16, 2018

Executive Summary

The purpose of this report is to present the results of live forecast performance evaluation for I Know First AI Algorithm, specifically for Singaporean stock market. The following results were observed when signal and predictability filters were applied in order to pick the best performing stocks out of the most predictable ones. The period under evaluation is from January 1^st,2018 to November 30^th, 2018. The corresponding returns distribution of stock filters (stocks subsets) for both Singaporean stock market universe and the main findings are below:

Singaporean Stock Market Universe Highlights:

Signal indicator filter applied to Top 30 stocks by predictability provides the highest return of 2.30% for a 3-months’ investment horizon at Top 5 signals level
There is a clear increasing trend for returns’ improvement with the time horizon increase
Top 5 stocks by signal significantly out-perform the benchmark, in every time-horizon

The above results were obtained based on forecasts’ evaluation over the specific time period using consecutive filtering approach – by predictability, then by signal, to give general overview of the forecasting capabilities of the algorithm for specific stock universe.