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Top Japanese Stocks: Daily Forecast Evaluation Report

June 25, 2020

Executive Summary

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the Japanese stocks for long and short positions (20 stocks) which were sent daily to our customers. Our analysis covers the period from January 1st, 2019, to June 22nd, 2020 and further analyzes the performance of the Japanese market since the beginning of the Coronavirus pandemic, February 22nd, 2020.

Chart 1: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 signals by Daily Model vs Nikkei 225 for short term horizons since **January 1st, 2019 until June 22nd, 202**0.

Chart 2: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 signals by Daily Model vs S&P 500 for period since February 22nd, 2020 (Coronavirus) until June 22nd, 2020.

Top Japanese Stocks Highlights

The Top 20, Top 10, and Top 5 signal groups generated by I Know First consistently outperformed Nikkei 250 Index for all three time horizons.
The Top 5 signal group outperformed the Nikkei 250 by 5.39% using the two-week time horizon.
Since the start of the Coronavirus, the Top 20, Top 10, and Top 5 signal groups generated by I Know First remained extremely profitable, while the Nikkei 250 declined.
Using the two-week time horizon, the top 5 signal group outperformed the Nikkei 250 by 10.89% since the start of the Coronavirus.
Every signal group generated by I Know First succeeded in outperforming Nikkei 250 both before and after the start of the Coronavirus pandemic.
Hit ratios for all time horizons are above 50% since the start of COVID-19.

Top ETFs: Daily Forecast Performance Evaluation Report

June 3, 2020

Executive Summary

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for Best ETFs for long and short positions (20 ETFs) which were sent daily to our customers. Our analysis covers the time period from January 1, 2019, to May 24, 2020 and further analyzes the performance of the US market since the coronavirus pandemic (see ^S&P500 Price Movement chart below).

Top ETF Picks Evaluation Highlights:

The most impressive outperformance of the S&P 500 Index is from the Top 5 signal group in the 3-day horizon with 28 times more returns.
The Top 20, Top 10, and Top 5 signal groups generated by I Know First succeeded in outperforming S&P 500 Index in short term horizons.
The Top 5 signal group generated by I Know First succeeded in outperforming S&P 500 Index in the one-year horizon.
Every signal group generated by I Know First succeeded in outperforming S&P 500 since Coronavirus pandemic.
Every signal group has hit ratios equal to or higher than 50% for all time horizons.

Algorithmic Performance

Best Israeli Stocks: Daily Forecast Performance Evaluation Report

April 1, 2020

Top Israeli Stocks Market Evaluation Highlights:

Amazing performance with an average return of 33.55% over 1 year.
I Know First reached an accuracy of 81% over 3 months.
Most of signal groups have hit ratios greater than or equal to 50%.
The majority of signal groups generated by I Know First succeeded in outperforming TA 125 Index.

Read The Evaluation Report

Algorithmic Performance Israeli Stocks

Best Japanese Stock Market: Daily Forecast and Global Model Performance Evaluation Report

January 15, 2020

Japanese Stock Market Evaluation Highlights:

Stock market forecasts that were generated by our Daily Forecast model obtained positive returns for all time horizons.
Top 5 by signal group achieved returns of up to 9,72%. It also outperformed the Nikkei 225 index by a significantly high margin in the 30 and 14 days time horizon in accordance with the Daily Model.
The Global Model forecasts obtained positive returns for all time horizons.

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Algorithmic Performance

Top S&P 500 Stocks: Daily Forecast and Global Model Performance Evaluation Report

December 21, 2019

Top S&P 500 Stocks Evaluation Highlights:

Stock market forecasts that were generated by our Daily Forecast model obtained positive returns for all time horizons and outperformed the S&P 500 for short time horizons (3 to 14 days).
We observed a consistent positive effect of signal-based filtering, besides one exception in the 90 days time horizon, additional screening by signal always resulted in higher performance.
The Global Model improved the performance even further - our algorithm's forecast according to this new model enabled a more flexible trading strategy that generated robust returns compared to both the S&P 500 Benchmark and the traditional model performance on longer horizons.
The highest return of 6.86% was obtained by applying the Global Model on the 90-days time stock market forecast horizon.

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Algorithmic Performance

Winning stock forecast: American Railcar Industries Stock (ARII) Jumped 50% Overnight

November 20, 2018

American Railcar Industries Winning Stock Forecast

About

American Railcar Industries, Inc., incorporated on April 30, 2009, is a designer and manufacturer of hopper and tank railcars. The Company designs and manufactures railcars and a range of components for the North American railcar and industrial markets. The Company operates through three segments: manufacturing, railcar leasing and railcar services. Its Manufacturing segment consists of railcar manufacturing and railcar and industrial component manufacturing. It uses certain of these components in its own railcar manufacturing and sells certain of these products to third parties. The Railcar leasing segment consists of railcars manufactured by it and leased to third parties under operating leases. The Railcar services segment consists of railcar repair, engineering and field services.

Source: Pexels

Shares of train-car maker American Railcar Industries (NASDAQ:ARII) stock surged more than 50% when the market opened this morning. The reason being that American Railcar announced a definitive agreement to sell itself to private equity fund ITE Rail Fund L.P. for $70 a share – precisely 51% more than the stock value at the time in October. In a statement, American Railcar noted that the total value of this transaction is $1.75 billion including assumed debt. That’s neither here nor there for most investors but owners of the stock should be more than satisfied with their one-day 51% gain, which wipes out all the stock’s losses from over the past year and leaves American Railcar stock up 18% for the past 52-week period, a better result than most investors in the S&P 500 have achieved.

Several predictions in this long-term 1 Month forecast below saw significant returns. The I Know First algorithm correctly predicted 9 out 10 stock movements. ARII was the top performing prediction with a return of 53.69%. ADC and AON saw outstanding returns of 12.44% and 10.58%. With these notable trade returns, the package itself registered an average return of 11.34% compared to the S&P 500’s return of -1.33% for the same period.

Current I Know First subscribers received this bullish ARII forecast on October 15th.

Algorithmic traders utilise these daily forecasts by the I Know First market prediction system as a tool to enhance portfolio performance, verify their own analysis and act on market opportunities faster. This forecast was sent to current I Know First subscribers.

How to interpret this diagram

Please note-for trading decisions use the most recent forecast. Get today’s forecast and Top stock picks.

Winning Stock Forecast

BABA Stock Forecast: Why You Should Raise Your Bets on Alibaba

November 15, 2018

The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

I recently increased my position on Alibaba. This Chinese e-commerce industry leader’s rapid growth story is not going to end anytime soon.
China’s economy is slowing down but Chinese customers still bought more than $30 billion worth of goods in 24 hours during Alibaba’s Singles’ Day last November 11.
Alibaba’s annual/quarterly revenue is still growing. The trade war tension started by President Trump is not slowing down Alibaba.
Aside from its India expansion, Alibaba is also expanding fast in South East Asia. It’s subsidiary, Lazada remains the top e-commerce online store in South East Asia.
Alibaba is now the third-biggest vendor of smart home speakers. Smart home speakers can drive more repeat online purchases.