World Indices Forecast: AI Beats the S&P500 by 41.85%

Highlights:

  • The highest average return is 57.52% for the Top 5 Signals on a 1-year time horizon
  • The most impressive out-performance against the S&P 500 index is from the Top 5 signal group in the 1-year horizon with 3.67 times higher return
  • Predictions reach up to 88% hit ratio regardless of macroeconomic conditions
  • Every signal group has hit ratios above 51% for all time horizons
  • I Know First provides an investment strategy for institutional investors that generated a return of 142.57% and exceeded the S&P 500 return by 118.93% for the analyzed period

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The World Indices Package Forecast

Market analysis by indices allows us to determine the forces that lead the financial market and identify the most attractive investment areas at various stages of the economic cycle. The algorithm of I Know First tracks and provides forecasting for a broad range of world indices to help our clients construct an effective portfolio based on their preferences and investment periods from 3-day to 1-year horizons. Currently, we have updated the Indices forecast package which covers now 384 world indices.

Stock Market Forecast: I Know First World Indexes Coverage Update for 2021

Executive Summary:

  • I Know First Provides an updated stock market forecast package of some 300 world indices
  • The best performers are the ^HNXI (up 159.48% over 3-Month) and ^IBC (up 1382% over 3-Months).
  • I Know First continues to perfect the AI algorithm and provides World Indices services to both institutional and private customers.

I Know First currently provides daily stock market forecast for almost 300 equity and other types’ indices including a mix of geographical, volatility, and sector-specific and asset type measures. In particular, I Know First has recently added coverage of regional, sector-specific, and interest rate indexes from around the globe, such as the Nifty 500 and the TA-90 index have been added. However, over the past year alone I Know First has increased the world indices coverage by some 178%.

The World Indices Package is one of I Know First’s quantitative investment solutions. The world indices

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Stock Market Forecasting: I Know First World Indices Coverage Update

Executive Summary:

  • I Know First Provides updated world indices package of more than 100 indices out of which 37 are newly added so far this year.
  • The best performers are the ^GVZ (up 31.55% over 1-Month) and ^IBC (up 129.74% over 3-Months).
  • I Know First continues to perfect the AI algorithm and provides World Indices services to both institutional and private customers.

I Know First currently provides forecasting for over 100 equity indices including a mix of geographical, volatility, and sector-specific measures. In particular, I Know First has recently added coverage of regional and sector-specific Asian and American markets and indices such as the Nifty 100 and the SOX index have been added. However, over the past year alone I Know First has added 37 new indices, a 44% coverage increase.

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I Know First Evaluation Report For World Indices Asset Universe

Executive Summary

In this forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for assets from World Indices asset universe provided as part of the Indexes World Package, which is sent to our customers on a daily basis. Our analysis covers the time period from 1 January 2019 to 30 June 2019. We will start with an introduction to our asset picking and benchmarking methods and then apply it to the world indices asset universe of all of the indices covered by us in the Indexes World Package. We will then compare returns based on our algorithm with the benchmark performance over the same period. Below, we present our key takeaways from applying signal and volatility filters to pick the best performing world indices:

World Indices Highlights:

  • Top 5 signals had better returns in all time horizons than the S&P 500. The best return came from the forecast of a 3 month time horizon which produced a return of 8.3% which outperformed the benchmark by 2.08%.
  • Top 10 signals had better returns in all time horizons than the S&P 500. The best return came from the forecast of the 1 month time horizon which produced a return of 4.07% which outperformed the benchmark by 1.92%.

Note that the above results were obtained as a result of evaluation conducted over the specific time period and using a sample approach of consecutive filtering by predictability and by signal indicators to give a general presentation of the forecast performance patterns for assets in the Indexes World package. The following report provides extensive explanation on our methodology and detailed analysis of the performance metrics that we obtained during the evaluation. This report is a new I Know First evaluation series illustrating the ability to provide successful short term and flexible forecasting for the World indices asset market.

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Stock Market Predictions: I Know First Indices Coverage Update

Summary:

  • I Know First Provides updated world indices package of 85 indices out of which 57 are newly added in the past year.
  • The best performers are the ^VXO (Up 30.43%) and ^IBC (Up 60.45%).
  • I Know First continues to perfect the AI algorithm and provides World Indices services to both institutional and private customers.

I Know First currently provides forecast for over 85 indices in 48 different countries. In the illustration below the spread of the world indices is mapped across the different countries that are covered. I Know First has recently added coverage of the Asian markets and indices such as India the Nifty 50 and the S&P BSE SENSEX index have been added. However, over the past year alone I Know First has added 56 new indices, a 118% coverage increase.

Figure 1: A world map highlighting the number of indices forecasted  

Stock Market Forecast For 2016 based on Artificial Intelligence: Up to 13.95% in 1 Month

Package Name: World Indices
Recommended Positions: Short
Forecast Length: 1 Month (12/25/15 – 01/25/16)
I Know First Average: 7.75%

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Stock Market Forecast For 2016

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