Stock Prediction: High-Performance Strategy

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Stock Market Prediction: I Know First provides investment solutions for both individual and institutional investors, utilizing an advanced AI self-learning algorithm to gain a competitive advantage. We offer a personalized approach to our institutional clients, assisting them in their investment process based on their specific needs and preferences. For more details about I Know First solutions for institutional investors, please visit our website.

Stock Market Prediction: I Know First provides investment solutions for both individual and institutional investors, utilizing an advanced AI self-learning algorithm to gain a competitive advantage. We offer a personalized approach to our institutional clients, assisting them in their investment process based on their specific needs and preferences. For more details about I Know First solutions for institutional investors, please visit our website.

High-Performance Strategy

Stock Prediction: The following trading strategy was developed using I Know First’s AI Algorithm daily forecasts from January 1st, 2020, to December 31st, 2023, with a focus on S&P 500 stocks selected based on the signal and predictable filters. This strategy is available to our institutional clients: hedge funds, banks, and investment houses, as a tier 2 service on top of tier 1 (the daily forecast).

The strategy involves constructing a tier-weighted portfolio with monthly rebalancing, achieved through the implementation of the signal filter. Moreover, the strategy controls the majority direction. The term “majority direction” refers to our predictions for stocks, upon which we base our position. This decision is guided by a number of long and short stock forecasts. Therefore, if the count of long stock forecasts surpasses the count of short stock forecasts, the majority direction is to go long and we construct a long portfolio. Conversely, if the count of short stock forecasts is higher, we assume a short portfolio.

In this strategy, we open our portfolio based on the majority direction. If it’s long, we hold our portfolio until the next monthly rebalancing. If it’s short, we check weekly to ensure it doesn’t change. If a short majority direction switches to long, we close our portfolio and go long in the SPY until the next rebalancing period.

The strategy provides a positive return of 377.62% which exceeded the S&P 500 return by 330.61%. Below we can notice the strategy behavior for each year.

Today, clients of I Know First can track the real-time performance of our strategies. Now, let’s examine the performance of the strategy based on the IKF AI algorithm from February 7, 2023, when the last rebalance was conducted, to February 25, 2024.

TickerStock NameDirectionUnrealized returnweight (%)
PHParker-Hannifin CorpLong3.07%8.63%
LRCXLam Research CorporationLong10.84%8.62%
AMATApplied Materials, Inc.Long15.64%8.00%
URIUnited Rentals, Inc.Long0.03%7.96%
JJacobs Solutions IncLong3.95%6.06%
IDXXIDEXX Laboratories, Inc.Long1.32%5.64%
MHKMohawk Industries IncLong6.59%5.52%
QRVOQorvo IncLong2.61%5.39%
SYFSynchrony FinancialLong3.19%5.18%
TELTE Connectivity LtdLong0.92%4.69%
MGMMGM Resorts InternationalLong-4.96%4.56%
GMGeneral Motors CoLong2.83%4.32%
BBWIBath & Body Works IncLong8.87%4.27%
PNRPentair PLCLong3.80%4.23%
NXPINXP Semiconductors NVLong6.16%3.61%
TRMBTrimble IncLong18.76%3.55%
NWSANews Corp Class ALong7.09%3.22%
TXTTextron IncLong-0.67%3.19%
DISWalt Disney CoLong10.63%2.00%
APTVAptiv PLCLong-6.39%1.36%

During the last rebalance period from February 7, 2024, the strategy yielded a return of +5.13%, outperforming the S&P 500 which increased by 2.33%.

Stock Market Prediction: Conclusion

I Know First offers investment solutions for institutional investors, leveraging our advanced self-learning algorithm to gain a competitive advantage. We provide a personalized approach to our institutional clients, enhancing their investment processes to align with their distinct needs and preferences. Within this framework, we have assessed the performance of the High-Performance strategy, covering the period from January 1st, 2020, to December 31st, 2023.

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Please note-for trading decisions use the most recent forecast.